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Walmart Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 55 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 1972.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+2.3%+1.6%57%+57.9%20.8%
February+0.6%+0.5%57%+16.3%15.6%
March+3.3%+3.4%69%+41.6%26.6%
April+1.3%+2.2%56%+24.0%15.7%
May+2.2%+1.5%63%+22.6%15.9%
June+2.2%+1.2%54%+16.1%31.3%
July+2.7%+1.6%65%+58.7%12.7%
August+0.9%+0.8%55%+31.7%15.4%
September0.0%+0.9%57%+13.1%14.4%
October+1.4%+1.2%59%+26.4%27.1%
November+3.6%+5.6%70%+20.7%34.0%
December0.4%0.7%44%+20.5%13.7%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
2025+23.3%
2024+71.9%
2023+11.2%
20222.0%
2021+0.4%
2020+21.3%
2019+27.6%
20185.7%
2017+42.9%
2016+12.8%
201528.6%
2014+9.1%
2013+15.3%
2012+14.2%
2011+10.8%
2010+0.9%
20094.7%
2008+17.9%
2007+2.9%
20061.3%
200511.4%
20040.4%
2003+5.0%
200212.2%
2001+8.3%
200023.1%
1999+69.8%
1998+106.5%
1997+73.4%
1996+2.2%
1995+4.7%
199415.0%
199321.9%
1992+8.7%
1991+94.6%
1990+34.8%
1989+43.0%
1988+20.7%
1987+11.8%
1986+45.9%
1985+68.3%
19842.9%
1983+56.4%
1982+134.7%
1981+40.5%
1980+82.0%
1979+46.2%
1978+12.3%
1977+30.6%
1976+18.1%
1975+176.3%
197429.0%
197361.2%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.