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Vistra Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 11 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 2016.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+4.2%+3.1%60%+21.9%4.2%
February0.5%1.6%40%+32.9%20.5%
March+0.9%+1.4%60%+27.7%17.0%
April+5.5%+6.3%70%+22.4%8.3%
May+5.5%+3.1%70%+30.6%13.5%
June+1.5%2.3%40%+20.7%13.3%
July+0.5%1.0%50%+13.1%7.9%
August+2.7%+3.1%64%+16.3%9.3%
September+4.3%+5.6%67%+38.8%15.2%
October+1.4%+1.1%56%+14.6%9.0%
November+3.7%+2.6%60%+27.9%8.2%
December0.7%2.8%40%+14.5%13.7%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
2025+17.0%
2024+257.9%
2023+66.0%
2022+1.9%
2021+15.8%
202014.5%
2019+0.4%
2018+24.9%
2017+18.2%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.