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UPS Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 28 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 1999.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January3.0%3.6%37%+8.1%23.0%
February0.6%+1.7%56%+9.2%18.0%
March+2.4%+1.7%74%+19.5%15.2%
April+1.0%+0.5%59%+19.9%16.1%
May1.0%0.6%48%+5.5%12.5%
June+0.3%+0.7%56%+11.5%13.4%
July+1.7%+0.4%52%+28.4%16.3%
August0.3%0.5%43%+14.6%9.5%
September0.8%+0.6%54%+6.8%17.0%
October+1.8%+1.7%54%+17.2%16.1%
November+4.1%+4.2%77%+13.1%7.1%
December1.2%1.1%41%+8.1%15.4%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
202521.3%
202419.8%
20239.6%
202218.9%
2021+27.3%
2020+43.9%
2019+20.0%
201818.1%
2017+3.9%
2016+19.1%
201513.4%
2014+5.8%
2013+42.5%
2012+0.7%
2011+0.8%
2010+26.5%
2009+4.0%
200822.0%
20075.7%
20060.2%
200512.1%
2004+14.6%
2003+18.2%
2002+15.7%
20017.2%
200014.9%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.