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Union Pacific Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 42 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 1985.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+1.0%0.2%49%+15.1%12.1%
February+0.5%+0.9%62%+12.7%14.8%
March+1.5%+2.4%60%+14.0%11.7%
April+2.7%+2.3%60%+19.5%14.2%
May+1.1%+1.1%60%+13.4%11.6%
June0.8%0.6%38%+10.8%12.5%
July+3.2%+3.8%67%+17.6%9.0%
August1.1%1.0%40%+15.2%12.1%
September0.9%0.0%51%+12.1%15.2%
October+2.1%+2.0%61%+23.2%33.9%
November+2.0%+2.8%63%+15.2%25.1%
December+1.8%+2.4%66%+15.0%10.1%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
2025+1.4%
20247.2%
2023+18.6%
202217.8%
2021+21.0%
2020+15.2%
2019+30.8%
2018+3.1%
2017+29.3%
2016+32.6%
201534.4%
2014+41.8%
2013+33.6%
2012+18.7%
2011+14.3%
2010+45.0%
2009+33.7%
200823.9%
2007+36.5%
2006+14.3%
2005+19.7%
20043.2%
2003+16.1%
2002+5.0%
2001+12.3%
2000+16.2%
19993.1%
199828.0%
1997+4.2%
1996+35.5%
1995+45.5%
199427.5%
1993+7.1%
1992+13.0%
1991+46.5%
19907.8%
1989+19.3%
1988+19.0%
198713.3%
1986+15.5%
1985+14.6%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.