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Eaton Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 42 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 1985.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+0.8%+0.4%51%+12.9%14.8%
February+3.3%+3.1%71%+17.4%17.9%
March+0.4%0.5%48%+11.2%14.4%
April+3.6%+2.4%71%+28.2%10.3%
May+0.6%+1.6%55%+11.3%13.6%
June0.6%0.4%48%+14.3%13.4%
July+1.7%+2.2%60%+19.9%16.4%
August1.1%0.9%40%+12.2%15.3%
September1.5%1.2%44%+18.7%23.2%
October+1.3%+2.5%63%+26.3%29.3%
November+4.0%+4.3%73%+16.7%9.3%
December+1.8%+3.0%68%+14.1%11.6%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
20254.0%
2024+37.8%
2023+53.4%
20229.2%
2021+43.8%
2020+26.8%
2019+38.0%
201813.1%
2017+17.8%
2016+28.9%
201523.4%
201410.7%
2013+40.5%
2012+24.5%
201114.2%
2010+59.6%
2009+28.0%
200848.7%
2007+29.0%
2006+12.0%
20057.3%
2004+34.0%
2003+38.2%
2002+5.0%
2001+14.1%
2000+3.5%
1999+2.7%
199820.8%
1997+28.0%
1996+30.1%
1995+8.3%
19942.0%
1993+23.7%
1992+26.3%
1991+29.6%
199012.5%
1989+2.2%
1988+5.5%
1987+7.5%
1986+15.0%
1985+6.4%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.