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Cocoa Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 27 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 2000.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+3.7%+1.5%59%+37.7%31.3%
February+3.9%+5.7%61%+35.0%18.0%
March+1.3%+1.8%65%+50.0%21.4%
April+1.5%+3.1%61%+24.2%16.1%
May0.7%+0.9%52%+12.7%28.1%
June+0.2%1.3%48%+27.5%17.2%
July+2.9%+4.7%70%+23.1%13.1%
August+2.2%+0.2%52%+24.2%10.2%
September1.5%4.1%45%+16.2%15.8%
October3.3%4.1%32%+11.2%24.1%
November+3.0%+0.7%61%+33.2%19.8%
December+2.6%+3.8%59%+13.5%11.9%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
202534.2%
2024+119.7%
2023+61.4%
2022+3.2%
20213.2%
20200.5%
2019+8.3%
2018+27.7%
201711.0%
201633.8%
2014+4.3%
2013+24.8%
201130.5%
20107.7%
2008+31.0%
2007+24.5%
2006+8.7%
20052.8%
2004+2.1%
200313.4%
2002+33.6%
2001+72.8%
20004.7%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.