← PNL404 · BitcoinEnglish · 한국어 · 日本語

Bitcoin Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 13 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 2014.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January1.2%3.5%50%+39.8%32.1%
February+10.2%+11.9%75%+43.7%17.6%
March+0.5%0.2%50%+30.5%32.9%
April+10.2%+9.7%67%+34.5%17.2%
May+8.1%+3.4%50%+69.6%35.4%
June0.0%0.5%50%+26.7%37.8%
July+8.9%+8.1%75%+23.9%7.2%
August+1.8%6.5%38%+63.6%19.2%
September1.8%3.1%45%+7.4%13.9%
October+16.6%+12.9%75%+49.1%12.6%
November+7.5%+7.6%58%+58.2%36.4%
December+7.1%3.2%42%+47.8%18.8%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
20256.3%
2024+121.1%
2023+155.4%
202264.3%
2021+59.7%
2020+303.2%
2019+92.2%
201873.6%
2017+1368.9%
2016+123.8%
2015+34.5%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.