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Meritz Financial Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 16 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 2011.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+4.8%+3.6%67%+28.4%12.3%
February+3.3%+1.0%60%+40.4%14.2%
March0.4%0.7%40%+18.9%7.0%
April0.4%2.1%47%+20.3%13.6%
May0.5%0.2%44%+13.4%20.9%
June+4.7%+4.6%81%+18.6%9.6%
July+3.3%+5.2%56%+17.3%25.2%
August0.6%+0.4%53%+17.0%32.3%
September+1.7%+1.7%53%+18.2%17.5%
October+6.9%+1.3%60%+74.0%10.0%
November+4.6%+0.9%60%+28.1%5.6%
December+4.3%+6.6%67%+15.9%9.3%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
2025+2.1%
2024+66.7%
2023+59.5%
20221.3%
2021+356.0%
202010.8%
201913.4%
201825.2%
2017+50.7%
201611.3%
2015+26.9%
2014+38.3%
2013+66.1%
2012+57.5%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.