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S&P/TSX Composite Seasonality

Historical month-by-month and year-by-year returns

Based on 42 calendar years of monthly closes, starting 1985.

By Month

MonthAverageMedian% PositiveBestWorst
January+1.1%+0.6%63%+9.2%6.7%
February+0.9%+0.6%62%+7.6%13.3%
March+0.5%+0.7%57%+7.4%17.7%
April+1.0%+1.2%62%+10.5%8.2%
May+1.3%+1.7%62%+11.2%6.3%
June0.3%0.0%50%+10.2%9.0%
July+1.2%+1.4%71%+7.8%7.6%
August0.0%+0.4%58%+8.1%20.2%
September1.3%1.2%41%+6.5%14.7%
October+0.1%+1.1%63%+10.6%22.6%
November+1.4%+1.1%66%+10.3%8.5%
December+1.4%+1.5%80%+11.8%5.8%

By Calendar Year

YearReturn
2025+28.2%
2024+18.0%
2023+8.1%
20228.7%
2021+21.7%
2020+2.2%
2019+19.1%
201811.6%
2017+6.0%
2016+17.5%
201511.1%
2014+7.4%
2013+9.6%
2012+4.0%
201111.1%
2010+14.4%
2009+30.7%
200835.0%
2007+7.2%
2006+14.5%
2005+21.9%
2004+12.5%
2003+24.3%
200214.0%
200113.9%
2000+6.2%
1999+29.7%
19983.2%
1997+13.0%
1996+25.7%
1995+11.9%
19942.5%
1993+29.0%
19924.6%
1991+7.8%
199018.0%
1989+17.1%
1988+7.3%
1987+3.1%
1986+5.7%
1985+11.8%

These are historical patterns, not a forecast — past calendar-month performance does not predict future returns.